Local demographic changes and US presidential voting, 2012 to 2016
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Economic Voting and Economic Inequality: US Presidential Elections
Researchers and pundits alike view the state of the national economy as a key determinant of vote decisions and election outcomes: voters reward or punish the incumbent party as national economic conditions improve or decline. In an era of rising income inequality, however, national conditions provide relatively poor information to voters about how the incumbent is handling the economy in their...
متن کاملNeglected Tropical Diseases and the 2012 US Presidential Election
1 National School of Tropical Medicine and Department of Pediatrics and Molecular Virology & Microbiology at Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, United States of America, 2 Sabin Vaccine Institute and Texas Children’s Hospital Center for Vaccine Development, Houston, Texas, United States of America, 3 American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, Deerfield, Illinois, United States ...
متن کاملUS Presidential Election 2012 Prediction using Census Corrected Twitter Model
US Presidential Election 2012 has been a very tight race between the two key candidates. There were intense battle between the two key candidates. The election reflects the sentiment of the electorate towards the achievements of the incumbent President Obama. The campaign lasted several months and the effects can be felt in the internet and twitter. The presidential debates injected new vigor i...
متن کاملModeling and forecasting US presidential election using learning algorithms
The primary objective of this research is to obtain an accurate forecasting model for the US presidential election. To identify a reliable model, artificial neural networks (ANN) and support vector regression (SVR) models are compared based on some specified performance measures. Moreover, six independent variables such as GDP, unemployment rate, the president’s approval rate, and others are co...
متن کاملInferring Transition Probabilities from Repeated Cross Sections: A Cross-level Inference Approach to US Presidential Voting
This paper outlines a nonstationary, heterogeneous Markov model designed to estimate entry and exit transition probabilities at the micro-level from a time series of independent cross-sectional samples with a binary outcome variable. The model has its origins in the work of Moffitt (1993) and shares features with standard statistical methods for ecological inference. We show how ML estimates of...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
سال: 2019
ISSN: 0027-8424,1091-6490
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1909202116